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Last week, the Broncos lost to Syracuse, 48-7, but that could have been much worse if the Orange didn't pack it in after leading 45-7 at the half. The Broncos have one of the worst quarterback rooms in the country and also lost all of their best skill-position players in the offseason. I'm expecting a similar output for a similarly inept Western Michigan offense. When the final whistle blew, the Wolf Pack had amassed a meager 151 total yards. In that particular game, Nevada had no chance of ever really scoring, averaging 2.9 and 1.9 yards per pass and rush, respectively. Hopefully, it doesn't take as long as the seven hours (due to multiple weather delays) the Hawkeyes needed to barely cover as 24-point favorites for us against Nevada last season. I've probably lost my mind (again), but I actually like the heavily favored Hawkeyes here, so I'd like to apologize in advance to anybody who follows along. A good or bad spot may sway me one way or the other on a bet I'm on the fence for, but it's certainly more art than science.Īll lines referenced are current as of the time of writing, so I also included what I'd play each down to for your convenience.įrom a betting perspective, this game features an extremely rare spread and total combination: a four-touchdown favorite with a total of 43, which we haven't seen in 15 years. No matter how great a situational spot appears on paper, I still have to factor in how much value the number holds compared to my projections. Keep in mind the actual spread value still reigns supreme. Plus, my primary goal is to simply share a few key angles, notable matchups and injury situations for each particular game that hopefully make you a better bettor.

I don't think I'll ever repeat that level of success in a season, but hopefully we can avoid the regression monster and have another profitable season.Īlthough, there will always be rough weeks in this gig, so please wager responsibly. Now, we'll try to build on that.įor Week 3, I have highlighted my seven favorite betting spots for Saturday's college football slate, starting with a noon kick in northern New York.įor reference, last year's spots finished a ridiculously unsustainable 45-20-1 (69.2%). Despite losing Texas Tech in horrifying fashion, last Saturday's spots finished 5-2.

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